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Lakers vs. Nuggets odds, line: Proven NBA model reveals picks for April 20, 2024 Western Conference Game 1 first-round matchup

The seventh-seeded Los Angeles Lakers hit the road Saturday at 8:30 PM ET to play the second-seeded and defending NBA champion Denver Nuggets in Game 1 of their Western Conference series in the 2024 NBA Playoffs in Ball Denver Arena. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Nuggets as 7-point favorites, while the over/under is 223.5 points (see the current odds for each game this week on our NBA Odds page).

Before you make your Lakers vs. Nuggets pick, you MUST see what the SportsLine projection model has to say.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has produced over $10,000 in winnings for $100 players on the top-rated NBA picks over the past five seasons. The model enters the 2024 NBA Playoffs with a blistering 88-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,600. Anyone who follows it has seen HUGE returns!

The model knows that Denver veteran center Nikola Jokic will continue his dominance. The eighth-year pro nearly posted a triple-double with 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and nine assists per game in 79 appearances, all starts. He posted a whopping 68 double-doubles and 25 triple-doubles this year. He scored in double figures 75 times, including 28 games with 30 or more. In a 116–107 win over Minnesota on April 10, he scored 41 points while grabbing 11 rebounds and dishing out seven assists.

The model also knows that Lakers small forward LeBron James nearly had his second straight triple-double in the play-in-game win over New Orleans on Tuesday. In that game, James scored 23 points while adding nine rebounds and nine assists. He had 28 points, 17 assists and 11 rebounds in Sunday’s 124-108 win over the Pelicans. In 71 games, all starts, James is averaging 25.7 points, 8.3 assists, 7.3 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 35.3 minutes. He was productive against the Nuggets this season. In three games, he is averaging 24 points, seven rebounds, seven assists and 1.7 steals.

The model has Lakers vs. Nuggets simulated 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning, and it is says that one side of the spread appears in over 50% of simulations!

Who wins Lakers vs Nuggetsand which side of the distribution occurs in more than 50% of the simulations? … Join SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you should be on, all from the 88-58 roll model on the top-rated NBA picks!