Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction, 4/21/2024 Preview and Picks

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Game: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

Date: Sunday April 21, 2024

Place: TD Garden in Boston, MA


Odds/point spread: Miami (+13)

TD Garden is where the Boston Celtics (64-18) will try to defeat the Miami Heat (46-36) in Game 1 of their series on Sunday. Boston opens this matchup as a 13-point favorite. The over/under is set at 209.

NBA picks Kristaps Porzingis Boston Celtics predictions best bets

The Heat played the Bulls and took home the win with a score of 112-91 in their last game. Miami left the game with a field goal percentage of 46.3% (38 of 82) and knocked down 14 of 33 shots from beyond the arc. When shooting from the charity stripe, the Heat converted 22 of 24 attempts for a rate of 91.7%. In terms of board knockdowns, they earned 47, 9 of which were on the offensive side. They also recorded 26 assists for the game, forced 12 turnovers and got 6 steals. When it comes to defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 38.0% from the floor on 35 of 92 shooting. Chicago handed out 27 dimes and had 12 steals for the game. Additionally, Chicago grabbed 38 rebounds (7 offensive, 31 defensive) and had 6 rejections. Chicago finished the game shooting 80.0% from the charity stripe by converting 8 of their 10 attempts. They converted 13 of their 43 shots from distance. In terms of personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 11 and the Bulls had 19 personal fouls.

Tyler Herro is someone who played a role in the matchup. Herro went 47.1% from the floor and dished out 9 assists. He saw the course played for 33 minutes and grabbed 10 boards. He left the arena with 24 points on 8 of 17 shooting.

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Miami comes into this game with a score of 46-36 this year. They lose possession via turnovers 12.7 times per game and as a group they commit 17.3 personal fouls per game. As a team, Miami is grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game and accounting for 2,116 dimes on the campaign, ranking 18th in the league in passing the ball. The Heat are connecting on 37.0% on shots from distance (1,022 of 2,765) and 81.8% from the charity stripe. They are currently averaging 110.1 points per game (26th in the league) while shooting 46.5% from the field.

When on defense, the Heat are forcing 13.7 goals per night while committing 18.9 personal fouls. They rank 14th in the NBA in giving up assists, with 2,173 goals conceded this season. The Heat are allowing a FG percentage of 46.7% defensively (3,297 of 7,056) and they are giving up 42.8 rebounds per game as a team. They surrender 35.3% on 3-pointers and are 3rd in the NBA in opponent points per game (108.4).

When they last took the court, the Celtics emerged victorious with a 132-122 final against the Wizards. The Celtics earned 38 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards, for a total of 48 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 14 times while recording 10 steals in this game. The Wizards committed 16 fouls in this game, allowing the Celtics to get to the free throw line for a total of 21 attempts. They were able to convert 14 at a rate of 66.7%. In terms of shots from distance, Boston knocked down 16 of 32 attempts (50.0%). Ultimately, the Celtics went 51 for 89 from the floor, giving them a percentage of 57.3%. The Celtics allowed the Wizards to make 49 of 103 attempts from the field, giving them a shooting percentage of 47.6% for the game. They went 36.8% from three-point range by hitting 14 of 38 and finished 10 of 10 from the charity stripe (100.0%). In regards to rebounds, Boston allowed Washington to collect 36 total (8 offensive).

Payton Pritchard was important for the Celtics in this game. Pritchard scored 38 points in his 44 minutes on the hardwood and had 12 assists in the matchup. He shot 15 of 21 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 71.4%, and recorded 9 rebounds.

Boston has a win-loss mark of 64-18 so far this season. The Celtics commit 16.2 fouls every game and foul 80.7% from the free throw line. They make assists 26.9 times per game (14th in basketball) and they turn them over 11.9 times per game. Boston has scored 9,887 points this year (120.6 per game) and they are hitting 46.3 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Celtics shoot 48.7% from the floor, which ranks 8th in basketball.

The Celtics rank 5th in basketball in PPG allowed with 109.2. They are forcing 12.0 TOs per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.3% from the field (2nd in the NBA). Boston’s defense is giving up 35.2% on shots from 3-point land (1,059 of 3,008) and opponents are connecting on 76.8% of their foul shots. They have given up 24.9 dimes and 43.3 rebounds per game, which ranks them 5th and 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight’s NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink’s pick: take Miami (+13)

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