Miami Marlins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 04/22/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

Date: Monday April 22, 2024

Place: Truist Park in Cumberland, Georgia

TV: Bally Sports Florida

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (13-5) will try to defeat the Miami Marlins (4-16) on Monday. The starting pitchers are Ryan Weathers and Reynaldo Lopez.

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As a team, the Marlins collected 21 two-baggers and hit 16 baseballs out of the park. Miami has a slugging% of .321 and has been called out on strikes 160 times while walking 52 times. As a team, the Miami Marlins are scoring 3.7 runs/g, which ranks 24th in the league. They have 71 runs batted in so far this season along with 143 hits, and their team batting average sits at .214. They have racked up 73 runs scored while having a team-on-base percentage of .275.

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The Marlins have compiled a team ERA of 5.03 (27th in the MLB) so far this season and have faced 178 batters. Marlins pitchers have allowed a total of 20 home runs and 113 runs (29th in the league). They have walked 92 batters and their FIP stands at 4.36 as a unit this season. Miami has given up 185 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) and 100 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 1.93 and their pitching staff has a WHIP of 1.55.

The Marlins have sent 66 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relievers inherited 31 runners this year, 38.7% of whom crossed the plate. They have scored two saves this season and squandered six of eight save chances. Marlins relief pitchers have posted a 25.0% save percentage and have entered the game in 20 save situations. The bullpen has held 12 carries this season (11th in the MLB). Marlins relief pitchers have stepped to the mound with starters 18 times and have made 17 appearances in high-leverage situations.

The Marlins have converted 65.6% of balls in play into outs in their 1,611 innings on the field, ranking them 28th in the MLB. The Miami Marlins have recorded 537 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 184 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage remains steady at .981, which ranks 22nd in the Majors and has earned 20 double plays.

Weathers (7-16 in his career) has an FIP of 5.47 while facing 768 batters during his time in the major leagues. He gave up 193 hits (9.9 hits per nine innings) with 72 free passes. His ERA is 5.52 (108 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.506. Weathers pitched 176 innings and was responsible for 140 strikeouts in his MLB career.

Atlanta has collected 24 home runs and 111 RBIs this season. They scored 51 two-baggers, got a free base 60 times and scored 116 runs. The Atlanta Braves posted an OBP of .356 and a team batting average of .290 during the campaign. The Braves have a team slugging% of .489 and are allowing 6.44 runs per game (1st in the league). They have been called 156 times (20th in baseball) and are sitting with 188 hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.300 and are the owners of a 4.08 pitching staff FIP on the campaign. They currently have a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 8.30 (148 strikeouts vs. 59 walks). They rank 7th in the MLB as a pitching staff with a total hits allowed of 149. They have surrendered 19 home runs and 4.61 runs per 9 innings (17th in baseball). Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 82 runs this year while posting a 4.33 ERA (77 earned runs given up).

With 17 saves, the Braves have earned 9 holds and 2 failed saves. Atlanta has called upon bullpen pitchers to step to the mound in 8 save opportunities and they have walked away with 6 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped on the mound 18 times in high-leverage situations and 16 times with runners on base. Atlanta bullpen pitchers have an inherited scoring rate of 25.0% out of 20 inherited runners. They currently rank 5th in the league with a 75.0% save percentage, and they have sent 61 relievers to the mound this season.

The Atlanta Braves have faced 19 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .992 (1st in MLB). The Braves have collected 177 assists, 5 errors and 480 putouts so far this season. In 1,440 innings on the diamond, the Braves have a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Lopez has surrendered 646 hits while recording 635 punch outs in 697 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 327 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.291 and owning an FIP of 4.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.49 and has faced 2,959 batters so far in his career. Lopez (41-49 career record) has a 4.22 ERA while allowing 8.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight’s MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn’s pick: Take Miami

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